Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.4% run rate.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (133 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to accumulate 1.8 carries this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
Jared Goff has picked up a measly 4.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest marks in the league among QBs (11th percentile).
Jared Goff has been among the worst QBs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging just 1.21 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.

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