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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+175/-240).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

With a 41.4% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the league has been the Lions.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 128.8 offensive plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average).

In regards to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 5th-best in football last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The model projects Jared Goff to total 1.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the fewest among all QBs.

Making up a lowly 2.8% of his offense's carries this year (9th percentile among QBs), Jared Goff's lack of mobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.

Jared Goff has generated a mere 2.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in football among QBs (5th percentile).

Jared Goff's 2.87 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a noteworthy regression in his running ability over last season's 3.82 rate.

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