Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Lions rank as the 2nd-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 47.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in the NFL (149 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to notch 2.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
Jared Goff has generated just 4.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in the league among quarterbacks (14th percentile).
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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