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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (41.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Lions.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

When talking about opening holes for runners (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The model projects Jared Goff to total 1.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.

Jared Goff is more comfortable as a passer and has accounted for a mere 3.3% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 9th percentile when it comes to QBs.

Jared Goff has generated a measly 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (6th percentile).

Jared Goff's 3.04 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season reflects a remarkable regression in his rushing talent over last season's 3.82 mark.

More Jared Goff Player Props

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