Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4 points.
Right now, the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (40.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Lions.
The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
When talking about opening holes for runners (and the effect it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Jared Goff to accrue 1.9 carries this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.
Taking on just 3.8% of his offense's run game usage this year (11th percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's immobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.
Jared Goff has grinded out just 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league when it comes to QBs (8th percentile).
With a lousy rate of 3.3 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (17th percentile), Jared Goff stands as one of the worst running QBs in football this year.

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