Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).
The Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (138 per game) against the Packers defense this year.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 25th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The model projects Jared Goff to notch 1.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.
Jared Goff is more comfortable as a passer and has accounted for just 3.1% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 9th percentile when it comes to QBs.
With a dreadful tally of 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (8th percentile), Jared Goff rates as one of the worst running quarterbacks in the league this year.

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