Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 40.1% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the Lions.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
As it relates to run-blocking (and the impact it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.
The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst DE corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

In this contest, Jared Goff is forecasted by the projections to total the fewest carries out of all QBs with 1.6.
Jared Goff is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for a mere 3.3% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile among QBs.
With an awful total of 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (3rd percentile), Jared Goff stands among the weakest rushing QBs in the league this year.
With a dreadful record of 1.00 yards-after-contact (21st percentile), Jared Goff has been among the weakest running QBs in football this year.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 92.0 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

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