Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 40.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (7.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 4th-most yards in football (144 per game) vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
The Green Bay Packers safeties project as the 28th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to notch 1.8 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
Jared Goff has averaged a measly 4.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest figures in football among QBs (24th percentile).

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