Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (6.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles project as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Lions are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to earn 1.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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