Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.55 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (128 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to garner 1.4 carries this week, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
Jared Goff is not a mobile QB and has accounted for a mere 0.0% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s carries this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile among quarterbacks.

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