Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (6.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.5% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-most yards in the league (134 per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to notch 1.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
Jared Goff has averaged a measly 3.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the league among quarterbacks (14th percentile).
Jared Goff's rushing effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling a mere 3.47 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.45 rate last season.
The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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