Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (6.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.6% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to accrue 1.7 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
Jared Goff has generated a measly 4.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (15th percentile).
Jared Goff's rushing effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling just 3.45 yards-per-carry vs a 4.45 figure last season.
The New York Jets defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.17 yards-per-carry.
The New York Jets defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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