Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (6.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.6% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to garner 1.7 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
Jared Goff has generated just 3.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (14th percentile).
Jared Goff's ground efficiency has worsened this year, notching a measly 3.39 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.45 figure last year.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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