Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (6.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.4% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to total 2.0 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
Jared Goff has generated just 4.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in football among QBs (17th percentile).
Jared Goff's running effectiveness has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 3.62 yards-per-carry vs a 4.45 mark last season.

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