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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (6.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.4% in games he has played).
  • The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to total 2.0 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
  • Jared Goff has generated just 4.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in football among QBs (17th percentile).
  • Jared Goff's running effectiveness has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 3.62 yards-per-carry vs a 4.45 mark last season.

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