|
|
Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 206.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 231.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 206.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.Jared Goff's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.3% to 73.8%.Jared Goff's passing effectiveness has gotten better this season, averaging 8.86 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.53 mark last season.This year, the deficient Packers defense has been torched for a staggering 239.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in the league.This year, the shaky Packers defense has yielded the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a staggering 5.30 YAC.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 53.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a lowly 55.4 per game on average).Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.Jared Goff has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (239.0) this year than he did last year (268.0).As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's safety corps has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
