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Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 245.5 (-143/+110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 250.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 245.5 @ +110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.Jared Goff comes in as one of the leading QBs in football this year, averaging an impressive 266.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.Jared Goff's 71.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy improvement in his passing precision over last year's 66.3% mark.Jared Goff rates as one of the most effective quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 8.46 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 97th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 57.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.2 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 34.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: fewest in the league.
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