Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 244.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 251.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 244.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
Jared Goff checks in as one of the leading quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 264.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.
Jared Goff's 68.7% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a a substantial progression in his passing precision over last season's 65.1% rate.
With a terrific 7.82 adjusted yards-per-target (91st percentile) this year, Jared Goff has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Lions offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.64 seconds per snap.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, allowing 6.12 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in football.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.48 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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