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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 266.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 270.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 266.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Jared Goff has attempted 36.5 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Jared Goff has been among the best QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 259.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.
  • Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 65.1% to 71.7%.
  • Jared Goff has been among the most effective passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.94 yards-per-target while checking in at the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.70 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-least in the league.

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