Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 266.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 270.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 266.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jared Goff has attempted 36.5 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.
Jared Goff has been among the best QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 259.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.
Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 65.1% to 71.7%.
Jared Goff has been among the most effective passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.94 yards-per-target while checking in at the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.70 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-least in the league.

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