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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 286.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 272.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 286.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 128.8 offensive plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.7 per game) this year.

Jared Goff has been one of the best passers in football this year, averaging an excellent 268.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 57.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

In this week's game, Jared Goff is predicted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.8.

More Jared Goff Player Props

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