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Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 211.5 (-110/-120).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are projected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.The Detroit Lions have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 60.9 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 7th-most in the league.Jared Goff rates as one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an excellent 268.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.At the moment, the 10th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Lions.The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 36.4 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.
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