Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 10:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 252.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 251.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 252.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Jared Goff has attempted 38.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile when it comes to QBs.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.
With an outstanding total of 272.0 adjusted passing yards per game (87th percentile), Jared Goff has been as one of the best passers in football this year.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 33.4 per game) this year.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 6th-fewest yards in the league (just 211.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Packers defense this year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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