Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 248.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jared Goff has thrown for substantially more yards per game (263.0) this season than he did last season (229.0).
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-highest clip in the league versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year (73.1%).
The Green Bay Packers defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-least yards in the NFL (just 195.0 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

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