Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 254.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.55 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 35.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.
Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 66.2% to 55.3%.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a measly 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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