Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 245.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 252.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 245.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 35.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.
Jared Goff has thrown for quite a few more yards per game (258.0) this year than he did last year (228.0).
Jared Goff's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this year, compiling 7.46 yards-per-target vs a mere 6.46 rate last year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in football against the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Opposing teams have passed for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 216.0 per game) versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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