Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 277.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 277.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 277.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff has attempted 37.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among QBs.
Jared Goff has passed for quite a few more yards per game (258.0) this season than he did last season (228.0).
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the league versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.1%).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.46 yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 9th-least yards in the league (just 217.0 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

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