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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (+111/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 232.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 236.5 @ +111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 208.0 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in football versus the New York Jets defense this year (66.8%).

The New York Jets pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, yielding 6.72 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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