Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 245.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 246.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 39.7 passes this week, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Buffalo Bills defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.14 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (6th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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