Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (+145/-205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 233.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 231.5 @ -205.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Jared Goff has been among the top QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 247.0 yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, allowing 8.31 yards-per-target: the 7th-most in football.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Chicago Bears defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Jared Goff's passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 66.2% to 63.0%.

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