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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Lions as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Lions have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The model projects Jared Goff to attempt 33.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 11th-fewest of all quarterbacks.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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