Jared Goff Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Pass Attempts

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 6:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to throw 37.2 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-most among all QBs.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4 points.
The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.4% pass rate.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Saints, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.7 per game) this year.

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