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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+112/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.

The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.

The New York Giants have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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