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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In averaging a staggering 0.88 interceptions per game this year, Jared Goff rates among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (24th percentile).

The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.6% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 126.1 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Buffalo's defense grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to producing interceptions, compiling 0.91 per game.

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