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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Interceptions
Player Prop Week 18

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+146/-192).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -161 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -192.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are projected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

The Detroit Lions have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

The projections expect Jared Goff to throw 36.4 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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