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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Lions since the start of last season (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.7 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Lions grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Seahawks safeties rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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