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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jared Goff's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.3% to 72.1%.

This year, the shaky Bills defense has given up a massive 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-largest rate in the league.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.6% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 126.1 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

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