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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Jared Goff's throwing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.3% to 72.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 55.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's safety corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

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