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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Jared Goff's 68.4% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a a remarkable progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 65.1% figure.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest clip in football versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season (73.7% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.2 per game) this year.

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