Jared Goff Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Completions

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jared Goff has attempted 36.5 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.
Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 65.1% to 71.7%.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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