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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 128.8 offensive plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.7 per game) this year.

The Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst CB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 57.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

In this week's game, Jared Goff is predicted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.8.

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