Jared Goff Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Completions

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 37.1 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Jared Goff's passing accuracy has worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.1% to 61.8%.

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