Jared Goff Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Completions

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
Jared Goff has attempted 37.8 throws per game this year, checking in at the 89th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The Detroit offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
This year, the porous Bears defense has been torched for a whopping 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-highest rate in the league.

Favors Under

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

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