Jared Goff Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Completions

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-highest clip in the league versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year (73.1%).
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Green Bay Packers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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