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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jared Goff has attempted 37.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among QBs.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the league versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.1%).
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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