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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Lions since the start of last season (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In this week's game, Jared Goff is projected by the model to earn the 8th-fewest carries among all QBs with 1.8.

Jared Goff is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 4.0% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 25th percentile among quarterbacks.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Seattle's collection of DEs has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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