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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have been the 10th-most run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 41.4% run rate.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).

The Bills defensive tackles grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 126.1 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to total 2.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.

Making up a measly 4.5% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (21st percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's immobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.

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