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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects the Lions to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The predictive model expects Jared Goff to accumulate 2.0 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Jared Goff is not much of a runner and has accounted for a measly 3.8% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among quarterbacks.

The Bears safeties grade out as the best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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