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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The model projects the Lions to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.1% run rate.

The model projects the Lions to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Houston's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (just 54.8 per game on average).

In this game, Jared Goff is forecasted by the predictive model to total the 6th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 1.9.

Comprising just 2.9% of his team's rush attempts this year (12th percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's lack of speed makes him no threat in Detroit's rushing attack.

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