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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Carries
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+132/-172).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -172.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4 points.

Right now, the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (40.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Lions.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.

When talking about opening holes for runners (and the effect it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Jared Goff to accrue 1.9 carries this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.

Taking on just 3.8% of his offense's run game usage this year (11th percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's immobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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