JaMycal Hasty Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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JaMycal Hasty

NFL · Player Props

JaMycal Hasty

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

JaMycal Hasty Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Jaguars have been the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jamycal Hasty's skills in picking up extra yardage have been refined this season, accumulating 6.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 4.33 mark last season.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: least in the NFL.
Jamycal Hasty has put up a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 8th percentile among RBs.
Jamycal Hasty's 6.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 13.2.
Jamycal Hasty's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 85.4% to 76.5%.
Jamycal Hasty's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling just 4.86 yards-per-target vs a 5.89 figure last season.

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