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Jamison Crowder

Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 13.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The Patriots defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Commanders profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, New England's group of safeties has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Jamison Crowder has been less involved as a potential target this year (17.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (37.0%).

The Patriots pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 7.64 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

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