Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jamison Crowder

NFL · Player Props

Jamison Crowder

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 13.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.
The Patriots defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Commanders profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, New England's group of safeties has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Jamison Crowder has been less involved as a potential target this year (17.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (37.0%).
The Patriots pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 7.64 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

More Jamison Crowder Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow